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Muslim Family & Marriage

NHS Warns of Rising Type 2 Diabetes Rates as Experts Urge Action and Highlight Support Programmes

By: Siti Muinah • Sep 27, 2026 • 6 min read

Public health officials in England are sounding an urgent alarm over the escalating prevalence of type 2 diabetes, warning that current trajectories indicate up to one in ten people could be living with the condition by the end of the decade. With around 90 per cent of all diabetes cases in England classified as type 2, healthcare professionals emphasize that prevention has never been more critical to protect public health and alleviate mounting pressures on the National Health Service.

The condition, which affects how the body processes blood sugar, is heavily influenced by a combination of genetic predispositions, environmental factors, and lifestyle choices. While fixed factors such as family history, age, pre-existing health conditions, and ethnicity play a significant role in determining individual risk, daily habits relating to diet and physical activity remain crucial markers in both the development and prevention of the disease.

Medical experts point out that certain demographic groups face a disproportionately higher risk. Dr Chirag Bakhai, a general practitioner and Primary Care Advisor to the NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme, highlights the distinct physiological vulnerabilities faced by specific communities within the country.

"People with an ethnic origin from the Indian subcontinent are at much higher risk of developing type 2 diabetes," says Dr Bakhai. He notes a critical nuance in how the condition manifests in these populations, explaining that it generally develops at younger ages and at lower levels of excess weight compared to what is typically observed in people of white ethnicities.

The clinical consequences of unmanaged type 2 diabetes can be severe and life-altering. Without proper intervention, chronically elevated blood sugar levels can damage blood vessels and nerves throughout the body, leading to debilitating complications.

"Type 2 diabetes can have serious complications such as blindness, nerve damage and ulcers leading to amputations, as well as increasing the risks of heart attacks and strokes," Dr Bakhai warns. "The best way to avoid the complications is to prevent the condition in the first place. For people at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes, adopting a healthy lifestyle with regular physical activity and keeping off excess body weight can make all the difference."

To combat this growing public health challenge, the NHS continues to roll out its free Healthier You NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme, specifically designed for individuals identified as being at risk. The comprehensive initiative focuses on behavioral and lifestyle modifications lasting over a period of nine months. To date, the programme has seen more than 1.3 million people referred to its services. Participants receive guidance on lowering their blood sugar levels through sustainable adjustments to their dietary habits and physical activity levels, with the ultimate goal of averting the onset of type 2 diabetes altogether.

The impact of the programme is mirrored in the personal journeys of participants who have successfully altered their health trajectories. Harry Matharu was referred to the initiative after his GP diagnosed him with non-diabetic hyperglycaemia, commonly known as pre-diabetes. The diagnosis served as a turning point.

"The programme changed my lifestyle, I now swim or run most days," says Mr Matharu, reflecting on his transformation. "I am full of energy instead of lethargic and tired. I am also mindful of my diet and have gone from a size 42 waist to a size 28, I couldn’t feel happier."

For others, the programme provided essential awareness regarding the specific genetic risks associated with their heritage. Kishor Chauhan, a resident of Greenford, was prompted to attend the Healthier You NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme after routine blood tests revealed elevated sugar levels.

"Being of Indian origin, I knew that we are at a higher risk of developing type 2 diabetes, but I didn’t think it would happen to me," reflects Mr Chauhan. Despite considering himself relatively active and maintaining a diet rich in fruits and vegetables, he acknowledged certain dietary vulnerabilities. "Although I was already active and had a good fruit and veg diet, I must admit I indulged in sweets. The lifestyle changes I have made have helped me reduce my blood sugar level and I have also lost 7kg in weight. I highly recommend those at risk of type 2 diabetes join the programme."

The Healthier You NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme is structured to provide participants with tailored support from dedicated, trained coaches and health experts. Recognizing the diverse needs of the population, the service offers flexible delivery models, allowing participants to choose between traditional face-to-face group sessions held in local community venues or modern digital services that provide coaching through dedicated smartphone applications and websites. These resources are designed to help individuals implement small, manageable changes to their daily routines, encompassing sustainable improvements in diet, enhanced physical activity, and effective weight management strategies.

Recent clinical evaluations of the initiative underscore its efficacy in real-world settings. The latest data reveals a notable 20 per cent reduction in the incidence of type 2 diabetes among individuals who have been formally referred to the Healthier You NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme. Furthermore, deeper longitudinal analyses indicate that individuals who successfully complete the full course of the programme experience a 37 per cent lower risk of developing the condition compared to those who do not participate.

Public health authorities are urging residents who may be uncertain about their health status to take proactive steps by assessing their personal risk factors. Individuals can utilize online self-assessment tools by searching for "diabetes know your risk" to complete a short questionnaire on the Diabetes UK website. The tool evaluates key metrics, including age, ethnic background, and whether close family members have a history of the condition.

Those whose assessment indicates a moderate or high risk of developing type 2 diabetes are advised to schedule an appointment with their local general practice. A straightforward blood test can then be performed to evaluate current blood sugar levels and accurately assess diabetes risk. Patients who are found to have non-diabetic hyperglycaemia may subsequently be deemed eligible for a direct referral to the Healthier You NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme, offering them a structured pathway toward long-term health and wellness.

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Author / Editorial Team:

Siti Muinah